Essai sur l'application de l'analyse à la probabilité des décisions rendues à la pluralité des voix
Nicolas de Condorcet — Essai sur l'application de l'analyse à la probabilité des décisions rendues à la pluralité des voix (1785)Nicolas de Condorcet · 1785 · BookEstablishedSource attached · not independently reviewedCLM-0605 · as of 2026-10-27 · about: Epistemic democracy · Author: Polity Atlas editorial team
“The Condorcet jury theorem states that if voters independently choose between two options and each is more likely than not to be correct, the probability that the majority is correct increases with the size of the group and converges to certainty.”
Evidence that supports
2Jury Theorems
Franz Dietrich,Kai Spiekermann — Jury Theorems (2021)Franz Dietrich; Kai Spiekermann · 2021 · Web page · Section 2.1Evidence that contradicts
0No counter-evidence recorded.
Context
Thirteen theorems in search of the truth
Epistemic Democracy: Generalizing the Condorcet Jury Theorem
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