Psychological Strategies for Winning a Geopolitical Forecasting Tournament

Barbara Mellers; Lyle Ungar; Jonathan Baron; Jaime Ramos; Burcu Gurcay; Katrina Fincher; Sydney E. Scott; Don Moore; Pavel Atanasov; Samuel A. Swift; Terry Murray; Eric Stone; Philip E. Tetlock · Psychological Science 25(5): 1106-1115 · 2014